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| # | Ticker | Company | Refinancing Risk | Competitive Moat | Sector | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | LowMinimal debt; $38.5B net cash position3 src | WideCUDA ecosystem lock-in, networking share4 src | Semiconductors | $182.40 | |
| 2 | AVGO | Broadcom Inc. | MediumVMware deal debt; laddered through FY304 src | WideCustom silicon franchises, software mix3 src | Semiconductors | $298.11 | |
| 3 | MU | Micron Technology | Processing… | Processing… | Semiconductors | $128.90 | |
| 4 | AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | LowNet cash; converts retired in FY253 src | Narrowx86 duopoly; MI400 closing software gap4 src | Semiconductors | $167.20 | |
| 5 | INTC | Intel Corporation | HighHeavy capex against negative FCF; 18A ramp5 src | NoneProcess leadership lost; foundry unproven4 src | Semiconductors | $22.15 | |
| 6 | TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor | LowNet cash; capex funded from operations2 src | WideLeading-edge process monopoly at N24 src | Semiconductors | $243.60 | |
| 7 | ORCL | Oracle Corporation | Medium$88B gross debt against OCI capex ramp5 src | NarrowDatabase incumbency, sticky ERP estate3 src | Software | $241.55 | |
| 8 | ASML | ASML Holding N.V. | LowNet cash; buybacks continue2 src | WideEUV lithography monopoly2 src | Semi Equipment | $1,042.10 | |
| 9 | QCOM | Qualcomm Inc. | LowModest leverage; strong FCF cover2 src | NarrowHandset concentration; auto ramping3 src | Semiconductors | $178.35 | |
| 10 | TXN | Texas Instruments | MediumElevated capex cycle peaks FY273 src | WideAnalog breadth, 300mm cost edge2 src | Semiconductors | $214.80 | |
| 11 | ARM | Arm Holdings | LowNo material debt outstanding2 src | WideArchitecture royalty flywheel3 src | Semiconductors | $158.22 | |
| 12 | AMAT | Applied Materials | LowLaddered maturities; A-rated2 src | NarrowBreadth across deposition and etch3 src | Semi Equipment | $202.70 | |
| 13 | LRCX | Lam Research | LowDebt ladder well spread to FY332 src | NarrowEtch share, installed-base services3 src | Semi Equipment | $108.44 | |
| 14 | ADI | Analog Devices | MediumMaxim debt refi window in FY273 src | NarrowLong-cycle design wins, sticky sockets2 src | Semiconductors | $244.19 | |
| 15 | KLAC | KLA Corporation | LowFCF covers ladder comfortably2 src | WideProcess-control dominance2 src | Semi Equipment | $902.15 | |
| 16 | SNPS | Synopsys Inc. | LowAnsys deal funded; deleveraging3 src | WideEDA duopoly, IP attach2 src | Software | $611.20 | |
| 17 | CDNS | Cadence Design | LowMinimal net debt2 src | WideEDA duopoly, systems expansion2 src | Software | $322.40 | |
| 18 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | MediumLeverage from Inphi era persists3 src | NarrowCustom ASIC pipeline vs. NVDA pull3 src | Semiconductors | $84.60 | |
| 19 | NXPI | NXP Semiconductors | MediumAuto downturn pressures cover3 src | NarrowAuto/industrial design-in depth2 src | Semiconductors | $228.30 | |
| 20 | MCHP | Microchip Technology | MediumInventory correction; converts due FY273 src | NarrowMCU breadth, long-tail customer base2 src | Semiconductors | $71.12 | |
| 21 | ON | onsemi | Not run | Not run | Semiconductors | $52.84 | |
| 22 | TER | Teradyne Inc. | Not run | Not run | Semi Equipment | $128.05 |
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AI Synthesis: 3 companies flagged supply chain risk from tariffs — AAPL is most exposed via China manufacturing (94% relevance), while NKE faces 200-300bps margin impact.
...tariff exposure remains a key concern for our supply chain. We are actively diversifying manufacturing across Vietnam and India...
...200-300 basis points of margin impact expected from increased tariffs on Chinese imports. Management is exploring nearshoring options...
...internal analysis flags 15-20% tariff risk on Shanghai output. Supply chain diversification timeline estimated at 18-24 months...
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| Ticker | Company | Sector | Mgmt Cred. | AI Capex Signal | Dilution Risk | Insider Sentiment | Refi Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | Technology | A | Clear | Low | Net BuyCFO discretionary buy | Clear |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp. | Technology | A | >58% | Low | Neutral10b5-1 only | Clear |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc. | Communication | B | >61% | Low | Net SellCTO sold discretionary | Clear |
| AMZN | Amazon.com Inc. | Consumer | B | Clear | Med | Net BuyMultiple directors | Watch · 24mo |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corp. | Technology | A | >73% | Low | Net BuyCEO open-market | Clear |
| META | Meta Platforms | Communication | C | >54% | Med | Net SellCEO scheduled sale | Flag · 14mo |
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